Analysts Divided: Only 10 of 37 Anticipate Banxico Movement in 2026-2027
27 of 37 analysts do not foresee a date for Banxico's next move; among those who do, opinions are split between a hike and a cut.
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IMF and MIT economists warn that cutting rates too quickly may keep inflation above target, following post-pandemic calibration errors.
27 of 37 analysts do not foresee a date for Banxico's next move; among those who do, opinions are split between a hike and a cut.
ING forecasts that Poland's Central Bank will keep rates at 3.75% until the end of 2026, ruling out hikes and delaying cuts.
Inflation, employment, investment, and minutes from the Fed and Banxico shape the economic agenda for the first week of July.
Net income for the Treasury nears €10.7 billion, a record. The most common salary is €1,500, while inflation exceeds 3%.
Median liquidity per account in companies drops 33% in H1 2026, to €14,732, due to rising rates and tighter credit.
Franklin Templeton anticipates greater market dispersion and less central bank backing in the second half of 2026, with oil as a critical variable.
The Fed's June minutes, chaired by Kevin Warsh, will be published on Wednesday and are key to understanding the new president's thoughts.
Warsh's Fed keeps rates unchanged, but the dot plot anticipates a quarter-point hike before December amid internal division and a cooling economy.
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh warns he will not tolerate inflation above 2%, disappointing expectations of rate cuts despite Trump's pressures.
Banxico cuts interest rate to 6.50%, its lowest level since March 2022, in its second consecutive cut of 2026.
Spot gold rises 0.3% to $4,188 per ounce in Asia, driven by falling oil prices and weak US employment data.