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Caputo reaffirms restrictive monetary policy and forecasts more dollars than pesos in Argentina

Caputo reaffirms restrictive monetary policy and forecasts more dollars than pesos in Argentina. The aim is to strengthen the availability of foreign currency.

Marta Uriarte ElizondoMarta Uriarte Elizondo··3 min read

The Argentine Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo, reaffirmed the continuation of a restrictive monetary policy and anticipated a scenario with greater availability of dollars than pesos, according to statements made before business leaders at IDEA.

The Minister of Economy of Argentina, Luis Caputo, once again sent signals about the economic direction of the Government during a meeting with business leaders from the Institute for Business Development of Argentina (IDEA), where he reaffirmed the continuation of a restrictive monetary policy and outlined a scenario with greater availability of dollars than pesos in the economy.

The definitions were reviewed by journalist Osvaldo Granados in his usual column on Radio Panorama, where he analysed the main concepts presented by the official before about 80 CEOs gathered for a breakfast held at the Sheraton Hotel.

Restrictive monetary policy and more dollars than pesos

As explained by Granados, one of Caputo's central messages was the decision to maintain a restrictive monetary policy to consolidate macroeconomic stability. In this sense, he highlighted one of the minister's main definitions: the goal of having “more dollars than pesos in the Argentine economy”, as part of the official strategy to strengthen the availability of foreign currency.

This approach aims to reduce pressure on the exchange rate and create a more trustworthy environment for investors. The measure implies that the Central Bank will continue to limit monetary issuance, which could affect liquidity in pesos but, according to the Government, will lay the groundwork for sustainable growth.

Tax and retention reductions, subject to fiscal balance

Another key point addressed was the reduction of tax pressure. According to the analysis released by Radio Panorama, Caputo stated that improving competitiveness requires advancing in tax and retention reductions, although he clarified that this process will depend on the continuation of the balance of public accounts. “It cannot be done faster”, was one of the definitions that, according to Granados, the minister expressed during the meeting.

This caution reflects the Government's priority to maintain a fiscal surplus, a condition it considers essential for any tax reform. The business leaders present valued the signal, although some expressed their desire for a more accelerated reduction of tax burdens.

Mining as a source of foreign currency and dollar credit

In terms of production, the head of the Treasury again highlighted the potential of mining as one of the engines for increasing foreign currency income. In response to questions related to the employment generated by the activity, he projected exports of US$ 50 billion in the coming years, a scenario that, in his view, would allow for a reduction of the tax burden on other sectors of the economy.

The analysis also referred to the financial strategy promoted by the Government to expand dollar credit. According to Granados, Caputo seeks for banking institutions to increase the supply of financing in that currency, as part of a scheme aimed at strengthening access to foreign currency. This could benefit exporting companies and sectors with dollar income, although it raises concerns about exchange rate risk for borrowers.

Finally, Granados noted that private sector confidence remains a key component for the consolidation of the economic programme. However, he warned that among business leaders, questions persist regarding the political scenario of 2027 and the impact it could have on the continuity of current economic policies.

Marta Uriarte Elizondo

Written by

Marta Uriarte Elizondo

Redactora

Graduada en ADE por la Autónoma y emprendedora frustrada (dos veces). Coleccionista de pitch decks, cafetera y optimista pese a las estadísticas; en Iber Empresa firma las pymes y las startups.